Thursday, March 24, 2005

Political News...

A new CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll has Bush's approval rating at an all time low of 45%. CBS confirms a similar number. For the 6% of America who have changed they're opinion since November....thanks for finally paying some freaking attention. I would have preferred if you woke up and smelt the coffee the day before the election, but I suppose until at least 2006 it's going to have to be the little things, isn't it?

Speaking of 2006, I think Marie is definately right about getting all geared up on House races. Democrats only need 15 seats (which by historical standards really isn't very much), and polls (see the CBS one above, just to name one) recently have shown Congress' approval rating at it's lowest point since the Clinton Impeachment hearings. If this keeps up, it could give a boost to a national anti-GOP wave. For a really good source over the next couple months, check out Cook Political Report. Go here, for instance, to get a list of all the competitive House seats, broken down into seats that are tossups and that lean or are likely for one party or another. There aren't any seats in CA on the list calling out for us to get involved in yet, but obviously that will all change if Arnold gets his way on redistricting. I'd say that basically the whole chart has to shift over a spot for things to look really good for us (i.e.--all the "lean GOP" seats become tossups, all the "lean democrat" seats become "likely democrat," etc.), which, again isn't that far outside the realm of possibility if Dems start knocking Bush around the Beltway on Social Security and if Congress' approval ratings still stay so low. There's also a really good article in Roll Call (it's by subscription only, but you can Lexis it like I do) on an emerging Democratic House strategy in 2006 focusing on using corrupt Republican leaders like Tom Delay to paint the GOP as drunk-on-power extremists (which shouldn't be that hard since it is, in fact, largely true). It's a page out of the old Newt Gingrich 1994 playbook. Hopefully it will work for us just as well as it did for them.

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